Bitcoin (BTC) &#273;&atilde; gi&#7843;m d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD. Hi&#7879;n t&#7841;i, n&oacute; &#273;ang ti&#7871;n g&#7847;n &#273;&#7871;n m&#7897;t &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin, m&#7897;t s&#7921; ki&#7879;n k&#7929; thu&#7853;t khi &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng trung b&igrave;nh &#273;&#7897;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y c&#7855;t xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y.
Trong qu&aacute; kh&#7913;, m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y th&#432;&#7901;ng xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n g&#7847;n &#273;&aacute;y th&#7883; tr&#432;&#7901;ng. Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, m&ocirc;i tr&#432;&#7901;ng v&#297; m&ocirc; v&agrave; c&#7845;u tr&uacute;c th&#7883; tr&#432;&#7901;ng n&#259;m 2025 kh&ocirc;ng c&ograve;n gi&#7889;ng nh&#432; c&aacute;c chu k&#7923; tr&#432;&#7899;c. &#272;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y &#273;&#7863;t ra c&acirc;u h&#7887;i quan tr&#7885;ng: Li&#7879;u &#273;&acirc;y c&oacute; ph&#7843;i l&agrave; &#273;&aacute;y th&#7921;c s&#7921;, hay ch&#7881; l&agrave; m&#7897;t b&#432;&#7899;c trong giai &#273;o&#7841;n &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng k&eacute;o d&agrave;i h&#417;n?
<h2 class="bic-gutenberg-heading wp-heading wp-block-heading" id="h-death-cross-incoming-data-history-and-short-term-outlook">Death Cross s&#7855;p &#273;&#7871;n: D&#7919; li&#7879;u, l&#7883;ch s&#7917; v&agrave; tri&#7875;n v&#7885;ng ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n</h2>

M&#7897;t s&#7889; nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch &#273;&atilde; theo d&otilde;i s&#7921; ki&#7879;n &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin &#273;ang &#273;&#7871;n g&#7847;n. D&#7921; ki&#7871;n trong v&agrave;i ng&agrave;y t&#7899;i, &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y s&#7869; c&#7855;t xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y.
Theo nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch Colin, s&#7921; ki&#7879;n &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin d&#7921; ki&#7871;n di&#7877;n ra v&agrave;o <a href="https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1989079967481970864" target="_blank" rel="noopener">gi&#7919;a th&aacute;ng 11</a>, t&#7913;c ch&#7881; c&ograve;n 1&ndash;2 ng&agrave;y n&#7919;a. Tr&#432;&#7899;c khi &#273;i&#7873;u &#273;&oacute; x&#7843;y ra, Colin d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n BTC s&#7869; ti&#7871;p t&#7909;c gi&#7843;m, v&agrave; c&aacute;c altcoin c&oacute; th&#7875; gi&#7843;m m&#7841;nh h&#417;n. &#272;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y ph&ugrave; h&#7907;p v&#7899;i vi&#7879;c BTC g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y &#273;&atilde; gi&#7843;m d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD.
<blockquote class="max-w-xl text-4.5 border-l-2 border-blue-600 pl-11 mb-9 select-all [&amp;_p]:!mb-0 wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
&ldquo;S&#7921; ki&#7879;n &lsquo;Death Cross&rsquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin d&#7921; ki&#7871;n (c&#7855;t &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y) l&agrave; m&#7897;t y&#7871;u t&#7889; th&#7901;i gian cho vi&#7879;c khi n&agrave;o &#273;&aacute;y c&oacute; th&#7875; xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n.&rdquo; Colin <a href="https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1989079967481970864" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&#273;&atilde; b&igrave;nh lu&#7853;n</a>.
</blockquote>

Nhi&#7873;u quan s&aacute;t c&#361;ng &#7911;ng h&#7897; &yacute; ki&#7871;n cho r&#7857;ng BTC th&#432;&#7901;ng t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y xung quanh c&aacute;c s&#7921; ki&#7879;n nh&#432; v&#7853;y, m&#7863;c d&ugrave; th&#7901;i &#273;i&#7875;m c&oacute; th&#7875; kh&aacute;c nhau. M&#7897;t nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch kh&aacute;c tr&ecirc;n X &#273;&atilde; chi ti&#7871;t h&oacute;a s&#7921; xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n c&#7911;a m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y trong 7 n&#259;m qua.
T&#7915; 2018 &#273;&#7871;n th&aacute;ng 04/2025, Bitcoin &#273;&atilde; tr&#7843;i qua &iacute;t nh&#7845;t t&aacute;m l&#7847;n death cross. M&#7895;i l&#7847;n nh&#432; v&#7853;y, BTC th&#432;&#7901;ng t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y c&#7909;c b&#7897; trong v&ograve;ng 5&ndash;9 ng&agrave;y v&agrave; t&#259;ng &iacute;t nh&#7845;t 45% t&#7915; m&#7913;c th&#7845;p nh&#7845;t. N&#7871;u ta xem x&eacute;t &#273;&#7907;t gi&#7843;m g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD l&agrave; m&#7913;c &#273;&aacute;y c&#7909;c b&#7897;, d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n BTC c&oacute; th&#7875; t&#259;ng l&ecirc;n &iacute;t nh&#7845;t 145,000 USD sau &#273;&oacute;.
<img style="height:400px;width:640px;" decoding="async" alt="Hi&#7879;u su&#7845;t BTC sau m&#7895;i l&#7847;n death cross. Ngu&#7891;n: X" class="wp-image-773116 lazy" loading="lazy" src="https://assets.beincrypto.com/img/4hjZDQxME8pn52T_IRPW8_73498=/smart/7f773c87e5414f7ea32eb87c02cccba2">Hi&#7879;u su&#7845;t BTC sau m&#7895;i l&#7847;n death cross. Ngu&#7891;n: <a href="https://x.com/Sykodelic_/status/1987994542923255829">X</a>

H&#7895; tr&#7907; cho quan &#273;i&#7875;m n&agrave;y, nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch Ash Crypto l&#432;u &yacute; r&#7857;ng trong ba l&#7847;n death cross g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y, Bitcoin &#273;&atilde; t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y trong v&ograve;ng m&#7897;t tu&#7847;n tr&#432;&#7899;c khi t&#259;ng m&#7841;nh l&ecirc;n <a href="https://vn.beincrypto.com/bitcoin-ath-depends-on-these-three-preconditions-after-rate-cut/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">c&aacute;c m&#7913;c cao nh&#7845;t m&#7885;i th&#7901;i &#273;&#7841;i m&#7899;i</a>.
<img style="height:400px;width:640px;" decoding="async" alt="C&aacute;c nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n gi&aacute; BTC s&#7869; &#273;&#7841;t m&#7913;c ATH sau khi death cross x&#7843;y ra. Ngu&#7891;n: Ash Crypto" class="wp-image-773118 lazy" loading="lazy" src="https://assets.beincrypto.com/img/jgmcfiD6CQBoWV7yCugTZBmfiZU=/smart/a4c1612c646745178ac5891417159c89">C&aacute;c nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n gi&aacute; BTC s&#7869; &#273;&#7841;t m&#7913;c ATH sau khi death cross x&#7843;y ra. Ngu&#7891;n: <a href="https://x.com/AshCrypto/status/1988702272352821609">Ash Crypto</a>

Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, m&#7897;t s&#7889; nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch &#273;&#432;a ra k&#7883;ch b&#7843;n th&#7853;n tr&#7885;ng h&#417;n. M&#7897;t ng&#432;&#7901;i d&ugrave;ng tr&ecirc;n X <a href="https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1989047383209177214" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ch&#7881; ra</a> r&#7857;ng m&#7863;c d&ugrave; death cross c&#7911;a Bitcoin s&#7855;p h&igrave;nh th&agrave;nh, nh&#432;ng m&#7913;c l&#7895; t&#7889;i &#273;a trung b&igrave;nh sau khi cross th&#432;&#7901;ng l&agrave; tr&ecirc;n 30% trong v&ograve;ng 12 th&aacute;ng. L&#7883;ch s&#7917; cho th&#7845;y, BTC c&#7847;n trung b&igrave;nh 141 ng&agrave;y &#273;&#7875; &#273;&#7841;t &#273;&#7881;nh sau cross.
N&#7871;u death cross x&#7843;y ra v&agrave;o gi&#7919;a th&aacute;ng 11 khi BTC n&#7857;m &#7903; m&#7913;c xung quanh 100,000 USD, m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y g&#7907;i &yacute; kh&#7843; n&#259;ng &#273;i&#7873;u ch&#7881;nh xu&#7889;ng v&ugrave;ng 70,000 USD. Sau &#273;&oacute; c&oacute; th&#7875; b&#7855;t &#273;&#7847;u m&#7897;t chu k&#7923; t&#259;ng m&#7899;i.
<h2 class="bic-gutenberg-heading wp-heading wp-block-heading" id="h-future-scenarios-quick-capitulation-followed-by-recovery-or-a-prolonged-downtrend">K&#7883;ch b&#7843;n t&#432;&#417;ng lai: &#272;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng nhanh ch&oacute;ng ti&#7871;p theo l&agrave; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i, hay xu h&#432;&#7899;ng gi&#7843;m k&eacute;o d&agrave;i?</h2>

N&#7871;u Bitcoin death cross &#273;i c&ugrave;ng v&#7899;i m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng cu&#7889;i c&ugrave;ng, l&#7883;ch s&#7917; cho th&#7845;y s&#7921; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i m&#7841;nh m&#7869; trong nh&#7919;ng tu&#7847;n sau &#273;&oacute;. Ng&#432;&#7907;c l&#7841;i, n&#7871;u &#273;i&#7873;u ki&#7879;n v&#297; m&ocirc; x&#7845;u &#273;i, death cross c&oacute; th&#7875; b&aacute;o hi&#7879;u m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;i&#7873;u ch&#7881;nh s&acirc;u h&#417;n, t&#432;&#417;ng &#7913;ng v&#7899;i m&#7913;c gi&#7843;m trung b&igrave;nh 30% trong m&#7897;t n&#259;m.
C&#361;ng c&#7847;n l&#432;u &yacute; r&#7857;ng death cross ch&#7911; y&#7871;u l&agrave; ch&#7881; b&aacute;o th&#7901;i gian, kh&ocirc;ng ph&#7843;i l&agrave; &#273;&#7843;m b&#7843;o cho vi&#7879;c x&aacute;c &#273;&#7883;nh &#273;&aacute;y ho&#7863;c &#273;&#7881;nh. C&aacute;c nh&agrave; giao d&#7883;ch n&ecirc;n xem x&eacute;t c&aacute;c y&#7871;u t&#7889; nh&#432; kh&#7889;i l&#432;&#7907;ng giao d&#7883;ch, s&#7921; ph&acirc;n k&#7923; RSI/MACD, ho&#7841;t &#273;&#7897;ng tr&ecirc;n chu&#7895;i v&agrave; thanh kho&#7843;n stablecoin. Nh&#7919;ng &#273;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y gi&uacute;p &#273;&aacute;nh gi&aacute; x&aacute;c su&#7845;t ch&iacute;nh x&aacute;c h&#417;n.
T&#7841;i th&#7901;i &#273;i&#7875;m hi&#7879;n t&#7841;i, k&#7883;ch b&#7843;n c&oacute; x&aacute;c su&#7845;t cao h&#417;n l&agrave; m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n, ti&#7871;p theo l&agrave; s&#7921; h&igrave;nh th&agrave;nh c&#7911;a Bitcoin death cross v&agrave; sau &#273;&oacute; l&agrave; s&#7921; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i m&#7841;nh m&#7869;. Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, c&aacute;c nh&agrave; giao d&#7883;ch ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n n&ecirc;n qu&#7843;n l&yacute; r&#7911;i ro c&#7849;n th&#7853;n: &#273;&#7863;t m&#7913;c d&#7915;ng l&#7895; ph&ugrave; h&#7907;p v&agrave; ch&#7901; x&aacute;c nh&#7853;n ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i, ch&#7859;ng h&#7841;n nh&#432; m&#7913;c &#273;&oacute;ng c&#7917;a h&agrave;ng ng&agrave;y tr&ecirc;n SMA50 v&#7899;i kh&#7889;i l&#432;&#7907;ng t&#259;ng, tr&#432;&#7899;c khi ph&acirc;n b&#7893; m&#7841;nh.

Đường chéo tử thần của Bitcoin trong 48 giờ tới — Đáy thực sự hay là cú sụt giảm về mức 70,000 USD?

Bitcoin (BTC) &#273;&atilde; gi&#7843;m d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD. Hi&#7879;n t&#7841;i, n&oacute; &#273;ang ti&#7871;n g&#7847;n &#273;&#7871;n m&#7897;t &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin, m&#7897;t s&#7921; ki&#7879;n k&#7929; thu&#7853;t khi &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng trung b&igrave;nh &#273;&#7897;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y c&#7855;t xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y.
Trong qu&aacute; kh&#7913;, m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y th&#432;&#7901;ng xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n g&#7847;n &#273;&aacute;y th&#7883; tr&#432;&#7901;ng. Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, m&ocirc;i tr&#432;&#7901;ng v&#297; m&ocirc; v&agrave; c&#7845;u tr&uacute;c th&#7883; tr&#432;&#7901;ng n&#259;m 2025 kh&ocirc;ng c&ograve;n gi&#7889;ng nh&#432; c&aacute;c chu k&#7923; tr&#432;&#7899;c. &#272;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y &#273;&#7863;t ra c&acirc;u h&#7887;i quan tr&#7885;ng: Li&#7879;u &#273;&acirc;y c&oacute; ph&#7843;i l&agrave; &#273;&aacute;y th&#7921;c s&#7921;, hay ch&#7881; l&agrave; m&#7897;t b&#432;&#7899;c trong giai &#273;o&#7841;n &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng k&eacute;o d&agrave;i h&#417;n?
<h2 class="bic-gutenberg-heading wp-heading wp-block-heading" id="h-death-cross-incoming-data-history-and-short-term-outlook">Death Cross s&#7855;p &#273;&#7871;n: D&#7919; li&#7879;u, l&#7883;ch s&#7917; v&agrave; tri&#7875;n v&#7885;ng ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n</h2>

M&#7897;t s&#7889; nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch &#273;&atilde; theo d&otilde;i s&#7921; ki&#7879;n &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin &#273;ang &#273;&#7871;n g&#7847;n. D&#7921; ki&#7871;n trong v&agrave;i ng&agrave;y t&#7899;i, &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y s&#7869; c&#7855;t xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y.
Theo nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch Colin, s&#7921; ki&#7879;n &ldquo;death cross&rdquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin d&#7921; ki&#7871;n di&#7877;n ra v&agrave;o <a href="https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1989079967481970864" target="_blank" rel="noopener">gi&#7919;a th&aacute;ng 11</a>, t&#7913;c ch&#7881; c&ograve;n 1&ndash;2 ng&agrave;y n&#7919;a. Tr&#432;&#7899;c khi &#273;i&#7873;u &#273;&oacute; x&#7843;y ra, Colin d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n BTC s&#7869; ti&#7871;p t&#7909;c gi&#7843;m, v&agrave; c&aacute;c altcoin c&oacute; th&#7875; gi&#7843;m m&#7841;nh h&#417;n. &#272;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y ph&ugrave; h&#7907;p v&#7899;i vi&#7879;c BTC g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y &#273;&atilde; gi&#7843;m d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD.
<blockquote class="max-w-xl text-4.5 border-l-2 border-blue-600 pl-11 mb-9 select-all [&amp;_p]:!mb-0 wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
&ldquo;S&#7921; ki&#7879;n &lsquo;Death Cross&rsquo; c&#7911;a Bitcoin d&#7921; ki&#7871;n (c&#7855;t &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 50 ng&agrave;y xu&#7889;ng d&#432;&#7899;i &#273;&#432;&#7901;ng SMA 200 ng&agrave;y) l&agrave; m&#7897;t y&#7871;u t&#7889; th&#7901;i gian cho vi&#7879;c khi n&agrave;o &#273;&aacute;y c&oacute; th&#7875; xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n.&rdquo; Colin <a href="https://x.com/ColinTCrypto/status/1989079967481970864" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&#273;&atilde; b&igrave;nh lu&#7853;n</a>.
</blockquote>

Nhi&#7873;u quan s&aacute;t c&#361;ng &#7911;ng h&#7897; &yacute; ki&#7871;n cho r&#7857;ng BTC th&#432;&#7901;ng t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y xung quanh c&aacute;c s&#7921; ki&#7879;n nh&#432; v&#7853;y, m&#7863;c d&ugrave; th&#7901;i &#273;i&#7875;m c&oacute; th&#7875; kh&aacute;c nhau. M&#7897;t nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch kh&aacute;c tr&ecirc;n X &#273;&atilde; chi ti&#7871;t h&oacute;a s&#7921; xu&#7845;t hi&#7879;n c&#7911;a m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y trong 7 n&#259;m qua.
T&#7915; 2018 &#273;&#7871;n th&aacute;ng 04/2025, Bitcoin &#273;&atilde; tr&#7843;i qua &iacute;t nh&#7845;t t&aacute;m l&#7847;n death cross. M&#7895;i l&#7847;n nh&#432; v&#7853;y, BTC th&#432;&#7901;ng t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y c&#7909;c b&#7897; trong v&ograve;ng 5&ndash;9 ng&agrave;y v&agrave; t&#259;ng &iacute;t nh&#7845;t 45% t&#7915; m&#7913;c th&#7845;p nh&#7845;t. N&#7871;u ta xem x&eacute;t &#273;&#7907;t gi&#7843;m g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y d&#432;&#7899;i 100,000 USD l&agrave; m&#7913;c &#273;&aacute;y c&#7909;c b&#7897;, d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n BTC c&oacute; th&#7875; t&#259;ng l&ecirc;n &iacute;t nh&#7845;t 145,000 USD sau &#273;&oacute;.
<img style="height:400px;width:640px;"decoding="async" alt="Hi&#7879;u su&#7845;t BTC sau m&#7895;i l&#7847;n death cross. Ngu&#7891;n: X" class="wp-image-773116 lazy" loading="lazy" src="https://assets.beincrypto.com/img/4hjZDQxME8pn52T_IRPW8_73498=/smart/7f773c87e5414f7ea32eb87c02cccba2">Hi&#7879;u su&#7845;t BTC sau m&#7895;i l&#7847;n death cross. Ngu&#7891;n: <a href="https://x.com/Sykodelic_/status/1987994542923255829">X</a>

H&#7895; tr&#7907; cho quan &#273;i&#7875;m n&agrave;y, nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch Ash Crypto l&#432;u &yacute; r&#7857;ng trong ba l&#7847;n death cross g&#7847;n &#273;&acirc;y, Bitcoin &#273;&atilde; t&#7841;o &#273;&aacute;y trong v&ograve;ng m&#7897;t tu&#7847;n tr&#432;&#7899;c khi t&#259;ng m&#7841;nh l&ecirc;n <a href="https://vn.beincrypto.com/bitcoin-ath-depends-on-these-three-preconditions-after-rate-cut/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">c&aacute;c m&#7913;c cao nh&#7845;t m&#7885;i th&#7901;i &#273;&#7841;i m&#7899;i</a>.
<img style="height:400px;width:640px;"decoding="async" alt="C&aacute;c nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n gi&aacute; BTC s&#7869; &#273;&#7841;t m&#7913;c ATH sau khi death cross x&#7843;y ra. Ngu&#7891;n: Ash Crypto" class="wp-image-773118 lazy" loading="lazy" src="https://assets.beincrypto.com/img/jgmcfiD6CQBoWV7yCugTZBmfiZU=/smart/a4c1612c646745178ac5891417159c89">C&aacute;c nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch d&#7921; &#273;o&aacute;n gi&aacute; BTC s&#7869; &#273;&#7841;t m&#7913;c ATH sau khi death cross x&#7843;y ra. Ngu&#7891;n: <a href="https://x.com/AshCrypto/status/1988702272352821609">Ash Crypto</a>

Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, m&#7897;t s&#7889; nh&agrave; ph&acirc;n t&iacute;ch &#273;&#432;a ra k&#7883;ch b&#7843;n th&#7853;n tr&#7885;ng h&#417;n. M&#7897;t ng&#432;&#7901;i d&ugrave;ng tr&ecirc;n X <a href="https://x.com/Bluekurtic/status/1989047383209177214" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ch&#7881; ra</a> r&#7857;ng m&#7863;c d&ugrave; death cross c&#7911;a Bitcoin s&#7855;p h&igrave;nh th&agrave;nh, nh&#432;ng m&#7913;c l&#7895; t&#7889;i &#273;a trung b&igrave;nh sau khi cross th&#432;&#7901;ng l&agrave; tr&ecirc;n 30% trong v&ograve;ng 12 th&aacute;ng. L&#7883;ch s&#7917; cho th&#7845;y, BTC c&#7847;n trung b&igrave;nh 141 ng&agrave;y &#273;&#7875; &#273;&#7841;t &#273;&#7881;nh sau cross.
N&#7871;u death cross x&#7843;y ra v&agrave;o gi&#7919;a th&aacute;ng 11 khi BTC n&#7857;m &#7903; m&#7913;c xung quanh 100,000 USD, m&ocirc; h&igrave;nh n&agrave;y g&#7907;i &yacute; kh&#7843; n&#259;ng &#273;i&#7873;u ch&#7881;nh xu&#7889;ng v&ugrave;ng 70,000 USD. Sau &#273;&oacute; c&oacute; th&#7875; b&#7855;t &#273;&#7847;u m&#7897;t chu k&#7923; t&#259;ng m&#7899;i.
<h2 class="bic-gutenberg-heading wp-heading wp-block-heading" id="h-future-scenarios-quick-capitulation-followed-by-recovery-or-a-prolonged-downtrend">K&#7883;ch b&#7843;n t&#432;&#417;ng lai: &#272;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng nhanh ch&oacute;ng ti&#7871;p theo l&agrave; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i, hay xu h&#432;&#7899;ng gi&#7843;m k&eacute;o d&agrave;i?</h2>

N&#7871;u Bitcoin death cross &#273;i c&ugrave;ng v&#7899;i m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng cu&#7889;i c&ugrave;ng, l&#7883;ch s&#7917; cho th&#7845;y s&#7921; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i m&#7841;nh m&#7869; trong nh&#7919;ng tu&#7847;n sau &#273;&oacute;. Ng&#432;&#7907;c l&#7841;i, n&#7871;u &#273;i&#7873;u ki&#7879;n v&#297; m&ocirc; x&#7845;u &#273;i, death cross c&oacute; th&#7875; b&aacute;o hi&#7879;u m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;i&#7873;u ch&#7881;nh s&acirc;u h&#417;n, t&#432;&#417;ng &#7913;ng v&#7899;i m&#7913;c gi&#7843;m trung b&igrave;nh 30% trong m&#7897;t n&#259;m.
C&#361;ng c&#7847;n l&#432;u &yacute; r&#7857;ng death cross ch&#7911; y&#7871;u l&agrave; ch&#7881; b&aacute;o th&#7901;i gian, kh&ocirc;ng ph&#7843;i l&agrave; &#273;&#7843;m b&#7843;o cho vi&#7879;c x&aacute;c &#273;&#7883;nh &#273;&aacute;y ho&#7863;c &#273;&#7881;nh. C&aacute;c nh&agrave; giao d&#7883;ch n&ecirc;n xem x&eacute;t c&aacute;c y&#7871;u t&#7889; nh&#432; kh&#7889;i l&#432;&#7907;ng giao d&#7883;ch, s&#7921; ph&acirc;n k&#7923; RSI/MACD, ho&#7841;t &#273;&#7897;ng tr&ecirc;n chu&#7895;i v&agrave; thanh kho&#7843;n stablecoin. Nh&#7919;ng &#273;i&#7873;u n&agrave;y gi&uacute;p &#273;&aacute;nh gi&aacute; x&aacute;c su&#7845;t ch&iacute;nh x&aacute;c h&#417;n.
T&#7841;i th&#7901;i &#273;i&#7875;m hi&#7879;n t&#7841;i, k&#7883;ch b&#7843;n c&oacute; x&aacute;c su&#7845;t cao h&#417;n l&agrave; m&#7897;t &#273;&#7907;t &#273;&#7847;u h&agrave;ng ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n, ti&#7871;p theo l&agrave; s&#7921; h&igrave;nh th&agrave;nh c&#7911;a Bitcoin death cross v&agrave; sau &#273;&oacute; l&agrave; s&#7921; ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i m&#7841;nh m&#7869;. Tuy nhi&ecirc;n, c&aacute;c nh&agrave; giao d&#7883;ch ng&#7855;n h&#7841;n n&ecirc;n qu&#7843;n l&yacute; r&#7911;i ro c&#7849;n th&#7853;n: &#273;&#7863;t m&#7913;c d&#7915;ng l&#7895; ph&ugrave; h&#7907;p v&agrave; ch&#7901; x&aacute;c nh&#7853;n ph&#7909;c h&#7891;i, ch&#7859;ng h&#7841;n nh&#432; m&#7913;c &#273;&oacute;ng c&#7917;a h&agrave;ng ng&agrave;y tr&ecirc;n SMA50 v&#7899;i kh&#7889;i l&#432;&#7907;ng t&#259;ng, tr&#432;&#7899;c khi ph&acirc;n b&#7893; m&#7841;nh.